prediction markets

Prediction markets are exchange-like platforms where participants can buy and sell contracts whose payoffs depend on the outcomes of future events. The market prices of these contracts reflect the collective beliefs or perceived probabilities of those outcomes occurring. They are often used to forecast political elections, economic indicators, or other uncertain events by aggregating information held by diverse participants.
  1. Pentagon Pizza Theory Returns After $400K Bet on Maduro Capture

    Pentagon Pizza Theory Returns After $400K Bet on Maduro Capture

    Pentagon Pizza Theory Resurfaces After $400K Bet on Maduro Capture A mysterious trader earned more than $400,000 overnight by betting on the capture of Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro. The case has reignited long-standing suspicions around insider trading on prediction markets and revived...
  2. Buterin Says Prediction Markets Filter Panic Better Than Social Media

    Buterin Says Prediction Markets Filter Panic Better Than Social Media

    Vitalik Buterin Sees Prediction Markets as a Cure for Panic and Misinformation Vitalik Buterin believes the modern information ecosystem is structurally broken. In his view, social media platforms reward fear, outrage and exaggeration, while offering almost no penalty for being wrong...
  3. Polymarket Plans U.S. Relaunch Before End of November

    Polymarket Plans U.S. Relaunch Before End of November

    Polymarket Plans U.S. Relaunch Before End of November Decentralized prediction platform Polymarket is preparing to restart operations in the United States before the end of November, marking a major return to one of the largest markets for event-based trading. The move follows a green light...
  4. Truth Predict: Trump’s Social Network Enters Prediction Market Industry

    Truth Predict: Trump’s Social Network Enters Prediction Market Industry

    Truth Predict: Trump’s Social Network Enters Prediction Market Industry Trump Media and Technology Group (TMTG), the parent company of Truth Social, has announced plans to launch a prediction market platform called Truth Predict. Developed in partnership with Crypto.com, the new service aims to...
  5. Trump’s Truth Social Launches Crypto Prediction Platform “Truth Predict”

    Trump’s Truth Social Launches Crypto Prediction Platform “Truth Predict”

    Trump’s Truth Social Launches Crypto Prediction Platform “Truth Predict” Donald Trump’s media platform, Truth Social, has announced the launch of a crypto-powered betting service called Truth Predict - a direct competitor to the popular prediction market Polymarket. From social network to...
Top