NYDIG Analysts Debunk Bitcoin’s Inflation-Hedge Myth

Bitcoin as a liquidity indicator, not an inflation hedge

NYDIG Analysts Debunk Bitcoin’s Inflation-Hedge Myth​



Bitcoin isn’t protecting investors from inflation — it’s simply tracking global liquidity. That’s the conclusion reached by NYDIG’s research team, challenging one of the crypto world’s favorite narratives.


Bitcoin and the Inflation Illusion​

The long-standing claim that Bitcoin shields holders from inflation just took a serious hit.
According to Greg Cipolaro, head of research at NYDIG, the data doesn’t support the idea that the cryptocurrency behaves like digital gold when prices rise.


“The community loves to present Bitcoin as an inflation hedge, but unfortunately the data simply doesn’t back it up,” Cipolaro wrote in the company’s latest research note.


Instead, Bitcoin’s performance has shown only sporadic and weak correlation with inflation indicators. In some periods it moved in tandem with consumer price spikes — in others, it completely decoupled.


Liquidity, Not Inflation, Drives Bitcoin​

The NYDIG team found that Bitcoin thrives when global liquidity expands and the US dollar weakens. In simple terms: when money is cheap and plentiful, Bitcoin rises. When liquidity dries up, it falls — regardless of inflation levels.


This dynamic suggests that Bitcoin has become a real-time barometer of risk appetite and monetary policy rather than a tool for protecting purchasing power.


“Bitcoin reflects global liquidity conditions — it benefits when the Federal Reserve loosens policy and suffers when liquidity tightens,” Cipolaro explained.


The Changing Macro Narrative​

This finding marks a turning point for macro investors who have long used Bitcoin as a hedge against money printing and currency debasement. The research implies that BTC’s future will depend less on inflation reports and more on the direction of monetary liquidity from central banks.


Cipolaro summed it up succinctly:
“Bitcoin isn’t insurance against inflation — it’s a mirror of the global money supply.”


A More Mature Market View​

For investors, the report is both a reality check and a sign of maturity in the crypto space. Rather than relying on simplistic narratives, analysts increasingly view Bitcoin as an asset deeply entwined with broader financial conditions — from interest rates to liquidity flows.


Still, many believers hold onto the “digital gold” story as a long-term truth — arguing that over decades, Bitcoin’s finite supply will inevitably outperform fiat currencies. For now, though, the numbers tell a different story.





Editorial Team — CoinBotLab


Source: Forklog

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