Bitcoin Rises Above $116 000 After Four-Month Consolidation
Bitcoin has rebounded sharply, climbing above $116 000 — a 12 % gain from the October 17 low — following a week-long bounce off key technical supports. Analysts see this move as a potential turning point after months of narrow consolidation.
Mixed Technical Signals
According to trader Daan Crypto Trades, BTC has been moving within a tight 8 % range for four consecutive months. September closed in profit despite bearish sentiment, while October — contrary to bullish expectations — is trending negative. Daan forecasts heightened volatility toward the end of 2025.Analyst Rekt Capital identifies the current movement as a strong bounce from the lower boundary of Bitcoin’s long-term range. He expects the asset to turn September highs into support before month’s end if momentum holds.
In contrast, trader Roman warns of a potential bearish “head-and-shoulders” formation on the weekly chart, which could confirm if BTC falls below $109 000. He argues that higher-timeframe momentum is exhausted and foresees limited upside in the short term.
Altcoins Prepare for a Breakout
Trader Michaël van de Poppe describes the current altcoin cycle as the longest bear market in crypto history — nearly four years of decline. Based on the MACD indicator, he compares today’s setup to late 2019 and early 2020, signaling a potential trend reversal.Van de Poppe notes that continuous red MACD bars since Q4 2021 are about to flip green, with a two-year bullish divergence forming on monthly timeframes. He believes this cycle may be the last one offering high returns before the market matures and volatility diminishes.
Fellow analyst Moustache shares this optimism, asserting that investors still have time to position themselves and that the coming months could exceed market expectations.
A Critical Week Ahead for Markets
Trader BitBull calls the current week the most important of Q4. On Wednesday (21:00 MSK), the U.S. Federal Reserve will announce its interest-rate decision — a likely 25-basis-point cut — followed by a press conference from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. At the same time, major tech companies — Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Apple and Amazon — will release earnings that together account for about 20 % of the S&P 500 index.On Thursday, a meeting between President Donald Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping could influence trade relations and global liquidity. Analysts expect elevated volatility as macro factors — rates, liquidity, earnings and geopolitics — converge within the same week.
Bitcoin’s rebound above $116 000 suggests that traders are already pricing in these events, with technical indicators hinting at the end of a four-month sideways phase and the potential start of a major move in either direction.
Conclusion
After weeks of tight consolidation, Bitcoin appears poised for renewed momentum. Whether it leads to a breakout or a correction depends on this week’s macroeconomic triggers. For now, the market has entered a critical phase — where technical setups, investor sentiment and global events collide to shape the final quarter of 2025.Editorial Team — CoinBotLab