Bitcoin Breaks 4-Year Support After Erasing 2025 Gains
Bitcoin has wiped out all of its 2025 price growth, dropping below $93,000 and returning to levels not seen since the beginning of the year. But the larger concern for analysts is the loss of a critical long-term support level that has held firm for four years.
Bitcoin Falls Below Its 50-Week Moving Average
The decisive technical break came as BTC fell under its 50-week moving average — currently around $102,843 — a level that has historically acted as a key line separating bullish and bearish phases. According to market historians, Bitcoin has breached this moving average only four times in its entire trading history, and each occurrence has preceded a full-scale bear market.
While the latest drop does not guarantee a prolonged downturn, analysts warn that the pattern is difficult to ignore. Long-term indicators now suggest weakening momentum, particularly after a 27% decline from recent highs that erased the coin’s yearly gains.
Whale Orders Appear — But May Not Signal a Bottom
Despite growing fear in the market, some large buyers have begun to place bids at lower levels. According to trader BitBull, Binance order books now show substantial buy clusters between $88,500 and $92,000 — areas where whales appear to be preparing to absorb sell pressure.
However, BitBull cautions that such activity does not guarantee immediate recovery. If BTC continues to struggle below its long-term averages, price could still test the $88,000–$90,000 range before any sustainable rebound takes shape.
Is This the Start of a New Bear Market?
Bitcoin’s break below a multi-year trendline raises the possibility that the four-year cycle is entering its contraction phase. Historically, when BTC loses the 50-week support, rallies tend to weaken and volatility increases as investors reassess risk exposure.
Still, several analysts argue the macro environment remains fundamentally different from past cycles, with institutional spot ETF flows and treasury accumulation potentially cushioning deeper declines. Whether these factors will offset the textbook technical signal remains an open question.
Market Braces for a Volatile Period Ahead
With uncertainty growing around U.S. macro data releases and global risk sentiment, traders expect the coming weeks to remain turbulent. For now, Bitcoin’s ability to reclaim the $100,000 threshold will determine whether this downturn becomes a cyclical reset or the opening stage of a longer bearish phase.
Until then, market participants are preparing for continued swings as BTC tests lower support zones and long-term indicators realign.
Editorial Team — CoinBotLab